Oscars 2019 Predictions: Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, Picked by A.I.
Swarm intelligence predicted 94 percent of the winners in 2018. Here are its predictions for 2019.
There are eight films nominated to win Best Picture at the 2019 Academy Awards. Following an impressive 94 percent score in predicting last year’s Oscars, a San Francisco-based technology firm, thinks it has correctly predicted the winner for Sunday night’s show.
Unanimous A.I. uses what it calls “Swarm A.I.” technology to create an artificial intelligence comprised of a hive-mind of dozens of movie enthusiasts. The firm regularly predicts the results for the World Cup, NFL games, politics, and even Game of Thrones plot lines. This week, it shared the results of its 2019 Oscar predictions with Inverse.
To predict the winners of the 2019 Academy Awards, Unanimous A.I. created a “swarm” of 38 movie fans who worked together as a hive mind to make their prediction. As the animations below show, each participant logs on to the Unanimous A.I. website, and controls a golden magnet, using it to drag a puck toward the result they think is the most likely outcome.
This is where it gets interesting: As a user sees the puck move toward a particular decision, it triggers a psychological response. They might readjust their thinking as the group builds toward a consensus. It’s an artificial intelligence, produced by human brains, working together as a group, similar to how a swarm of bees selects the perfect location for a hive. This TED Talk by Unanimous A.I. founder Louis Rosenberg, Ph.D., goes into further detail about this fascinating application of technology and the human brain.
Below is a selection of predictions for the awards on Sunday night.
Lead Actor 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Christian Bale, Vice
- Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
- Willem Dafoe, At Eternity’s Gate
- Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
- Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
Lead Actress 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Yalitza Aparicio, Roma
- Glenn Close, The Wife
- Olivia Colman, The Favourite
- Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
- Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Supporting Actor 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Mahershala Ali, Green Book
- Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
- Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
- Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
- Sam Rockwell, Vice
Supporting Actress 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Amy Adams, Vice
- Marina de Tavira, Roma
- Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
- Emma Stone, The Favourite
- Rachel Weisz, The Favourite
Animated Feature 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Incredibles 2, Brad Bird
- Isle of Dogs, Wes Anderson
- Mirai, Mamoru Hosoda
- Ralph Breaks the Internet, Rich Moore, Phil Johnston
- Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse, Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman
Adapted Screenplay 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- The Ballad of Buster Scruggs, Joel Coen , Ethan Coen
- BlacKkKlansman, Charlie Wachtel, David Rabinowitz, Kevin Willmott, Spike Lee
- Can You Ever Forgive Me?, Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
- If Beale Street Could Talk, Barry Jenkins
- A Star Is Born, Eric Roth, Bradley Cooper, Will Fetters
Original Screenplay 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- The Favourite, Deborah Davis, Tony McNamara
- First Reformed, Paul Schrader
- Green Book, Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly
- Roma, Alfonso Cuarón
- Vice, Adam McKay
Cinematography 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Cold War, Lukasz Zal
- The Favourite, Robbie Ryan
- Never Look Away, Caleb Deschanel
- Roma, Alfonso Cuarón
- A Star Is Born, Matthew Libatique
Best Documentary Feature 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Free Solo, Jimmy Chin, Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi
- Hale County This Morning, This Evening, RaMell Ross
- Minding the Gap, Bing Liu
- Of Fathers and Sons, Talal Derki
- RBG, Betsy West, Julie Cohen
Best Foreign Language Film 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Capernaum (Lebanon)
- Cold War (Poland)
- Never Look Away (Germany)
- Roma (Mexico)
- Shoplifters (Japan)
Visual Effects 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Avengers: Infinity War
- Christopher Robin
- First Man
- Ready Player One
- Solo: A Star Wars Story
Production Design 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Black Panther, Hannah Beachler
- First Man, Nathan Crowley, Kathy Lucas
- The Favourite, Fiona Crombie, Alice Felton
- Mary Poppins Returns, John Myhre, Gordon Sim
- Roma, Eugenio Caballero, Bárbara Enrı́quez
Original Song 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- All The Stars from Black Panther by Kendrick Lamar, SZA
- I’ll Fight from RBG by Diane Warren, Jennifer Hudson
- The Place Where Lost Things Go from Mary Poppins Returns by Marc Shaiman, Scott Wittman
- Shallow from A Star Is Born by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt and Benjamin Rice
- When A Cowboy Trades His Spurs For Wings from The Ballad of Buster Scruggs by David Rawlings and Gillian Welch
Costume Design 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- The Ballad of Buster Scruggs, Mary Zophres
- Black Panther, Ruth E. Carter
- The Favourite, Sandy Powell
- Mary Poppins Returns, Sandy Powell
- Mary Queen of Scots, Alexandra Byrne
Director 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
- Pawel Pawlikowski, Cold War
- Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
- Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
- Adam McKay, Vice
Best Picture 2019 Oscar Prediction:
- Black Panther
- BlacKkKlansman
- Bohemian Rhapsody
- The Favourite
- Green Book
- Roma
- A Star Is Born
- Vice
This year’s Oscars ceremony is happening Sunday at 8 p.m. The event will air on ABC, on ABC.com, and via the ABC app. Outside of having cable or an HD antenna, the only other way to watch is with a subscription-based live TV service like DirecTV or wait to watch it on Hulu 12 hours after it airs. E! Red Carpet coverage begins at 1 p.m. Eastern and runs right up until the start of the show. ABC also has Red Carpet coverage beginning at 5 p.m. Eastern. See every nominee on the official Oscars site.
If you’re wondering how Vegas predicts the Oscars will end up, watch this:
Read more from Inverse about the various Oscar nominees: