Science

Who Will Win Detroit Lions vs. Baltimore Ravens? A.I. Predicts

Two teams continue their fight for playoff spots.

by Alasdair Wilkins
Getty Images / Gregory Shamus

The Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens have both found unique ways to run hot and cold this season on their way to identical 6-5 records. Who will win Sunday’s game and take another step toward a playoff spot? A hive mind of about 30 NFL fans predicts the Lions will win.

The Detroit Lions have alternated streaks, losing three in a row before cranking out three straight wins. A loss last week to the division-leading Minnesota Vikings dropped them to 6-5 and ended any realistic shot of winning the NFC North, but a wild card spot isn’t out of the question. The Baltimore Ravens have looked alternately amazing and terrible at times, shutting out teams one week and getting themselves stomped into oblivion the next. So who knows which version of either team will show up!

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From their game last season.

Getty Images / Patrick Smith

To predict the result of this and other games, Unanimous A.I. used what’s known as swarm intelligence to forecast the week’s slate. About 30 NFL fans worked together as a hive mind to make picks. As you can see in the animation below, each participant controlled a little golden magnet and used it to drag the puck toward the answer they thought was the most likely outcome. As the users saw the puck move toward a particular outcome, it triggers a psychological response. They readjust their decision-making, building toward a consensus. Here’s Unanimous A.I. founder Louis Rosenberg explaining swarm intelligence at a recent TEDx Talk.

Unanimous A.I. has made some scarily accurate predictions in the past using swarm intelligence, as our previous article explains. For instance, the swarm went a perfect 7-0 in its most recommended picks for a recent English Premier League slate.

Unanimous A.I.

The hive mind likes Detroit to win this one, albeit only with low confidence and 77 percent brainpower behind the pick.

Unanimous A.I.

The swarm predicts a razor-thin margin for this one, with the Lions favored to win by one to three points. There’s 82 percent brainpower behind the pick. Vegas has the Ravens by three points.

The game kicks off 1 p.m. Eastern Sunday on Fox.

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