Science

Who Will Win Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals? A.I. Predicts

Cincinnati's season counts as the successful one here.

by Alasdair Wilkins
Getty Images / Gregory Shamus

The Cincinnati Bengals started 0-3 and haven’t managed to reach .500 at any point this season, currently sitting at 4-6. The Cleveland Browns would love to have a season like that. A hive mind of about 30 NFL fans predicts the Bengals will win Sunday.

The NFL’s latest battle of Ohio has a combined record of 4-16, with the Browns contributing none of the wins and 10 of the losses. Amazingly, the AFC is bad enough that a win here puts the Bengals in decent spot to reach the playoffs, which must make all those 6-5 NFC teams on the outside looking in feel just fantastic. Also, important note: This is the “AJ McCarron Failed Trade” Bowl, as the Browns tried to deal for Cincinnati’s backup quarterback but got stymied by a clerical error. This may or may not have contributed to McCarron filing a grievance against the Bengals. So yeah, that’s something to look out for if things get real weird.

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From their game earlier this season.

Getty Images / Justin K. Aller

To predict the result of this and other games, Unanimous A.I. used what’s known as swarm intelligence to forecast the week’s slate. About 30 NFL fans worked together as a hive mind to make picks. As you can see in the animation below, each participant controlled a little golden magnet and used it to drag the puck toward the answer they thought was the most likely outcome. As the users saw the puck move toward a particular outcome, it triggers a psychological response. They readjust their decision-making, building toward a consensus. Here’s Unanimous A.I. founder Louis Rosenberg explaining swarm intelligence at a recent TEDx Talk.

Unanimous A.I. has made some scarily accurate predictions in the past using swarm intelligence, as our previous article explains. For instance, the swarm went a perfect 7-0 in its most recommended picks for a recent English Premier League slate.

Unanimous A.I.

The hive mind picks Cincinnati to win with high confidence, with 89 percent brainpower behind that prediction.

Unanimous A.I.

The hive mind has Cincinnati winning by seven to nine points, with 83 percent brainpower behind that prediction. The Vegas line has the Bengals by 8.5 points.

The game kicks off 1 p.m. Eastern Sunday on CBS.

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