Science

Who Will Win Cleveland Browns vs. Detroit Lions? A.I. Predicts

At least one of these teams is fine!

by Alasdair Wilkins
Getty Images / Jonathan Daniel

The Detroit Lions are okay. They are 4-4, with some good wins, understandable losses, and one really bad blowout defeat. The Cleveland Browns are… well, they’re definitely not. A hive mind of about 40 NFL fans predicts the Lions will win comfortably Sunday.

Detroit has some work to do if it wants to make the playoffs, given the NFC’s general strength, but there aren’t many gimme games much easier than playing at home against a winless Cleveland Browns team. Make that a winless Cleveland Browns team in the midst of ridiculous quarterback turmoil, as a botched non-trade for Cincinnati Bengals backup AJ McCarron has likely destroyed whatever confidence Browns starter DeShone Kizer had left. Basically, Detroit, don’t mess this one up.

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From their last meeting in 2013.

Getty Images / Matt Sullivan

To predict the result of this and other games, Unanimous A.I. used what’s known as swarm intelligence to forecast the week’s slate. About 40 NFL fans worked together as a hive mind to make picks. As you can see in the animation below, each participant controlled a little golden magnet and used it to drag the puck toward the answer they thought was the most likely outcome. As the users saw the puck move toward a particular outcome, it triggers a psychological response. They readjust their decision-making, building toward a consensus. Here’s Unanimous A.I. founder Louis Rosenberg explaining swarm intelligence at a recent TEDx Talk.

Unanimous A.I. has made some scarily accurate predictions in the past using swarm intelligence, as our previous article explains. For instance, the swarm went a perfect 7-0 in its most recommended picks for a recent English Premier League slate.

Unanimous A.I.

The hive mind doesn’t need to think too much about picking Detroit here, predicting a Lions victory with high confidence and 92 percent brainpower behind the choice.

Unanimous A.I.

The swarm predicts the Lions will win by 10 to 12 points, with 87 percent brainpower behind the choice. That’s the same as the Vegas line, which has Detroit by 11 points.

The game kicks off 1 p.m. Eastern Sunday on CBS.

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